Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	GKS Jastrzębie		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.53
	5.75	3.8	1.55
	5	3.75	1.57
	5.6	4.1	1.5
	5.97	4.41	1.56
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.8	4.15	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (3.59)	4 ↑ (3.58)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
16.4%

Draw
23.2%

Arka Gdynia
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

GKS Jastrzębie - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).

GKS Jastrzębie is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 1
25.09.21	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
21.09.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
17.09.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:3 ✺
05.09.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Cup
29.09.21	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	0:5 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.09.21	Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
20.09.21	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
16.09.21	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	2:4 ✺
12.09.21	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.02.21	Arka Gdynia - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0
28.08.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Arka Gdynia	0:4

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