Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	GKS Jastrzębie		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.78
	3.5	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.45	4.26	1.74
	3.4	3.6	1.8
	4.45	3.82	1.63	Watch
	3	4.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.4)	3.8 ↑ (3.25)	1.81 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
25.5%

Draw
24%

Pogoń Siedlce
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	3.7%	96.3%

GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 26 - 96.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 89.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Trojanowski J. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 18. Bednarski M. 27. Borun B. 17. Fietz K. 8. Jadach K. 7. Lech P. 6. Maszkowski S. 4. Rogala S. 14. Vaz R. 44. Zakharchenko Y.	97. Kowynia J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 2. Lewandowski T. 4. Misiak P. 10. Nowak D. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.
Substitutes
10. Ali F. 77. Katus W. 22. Matuszek S. 9. Oslizlok M. . Pedzialek 33. Sajdak P. 24. Szymczak D. 94. Tyminski A.	29. Babor D. 14. Burka D. 23. Derlatka H. 21. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 22. Myszkowski O. 26. Okusami J. . Popiolek A. 99. Wicenciak B.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches GKS Jastrzębie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Siedlce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

GKS Jastrzębie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pogoń Siedlce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
26.10.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
06.10.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTTW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
23.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.04.23	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
26.08.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Siedlce	3:1

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