Match Info

Division 2 - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.95	1.52
	5.62	4.21	1.52
	3.98	3.97	1.74	Watch
	5.5	3.95	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.85)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
18.4%

Draw
22.9%

Stal Stalowa Wola
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

23.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Neugebauer B. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 5. Bednorz K. 23. Bykowski M. 14. Gosciniarek K. 15. Gromek W. 17. Koczy K. 6. Maszkowski S. 16. Mroczko S. 2. Tomal J. 4. Wybraniec N. (C)	53. Stepak J. (G) 4. Furtak L. 10. Hebel M. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 20. Niedbala J. 7. Radecki M. 17. Tomalski H. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.
Substitutes
10. Gebala P. 11. Jakuc O. 18. Kakolewski I. 3. Kriegler B. 9. Matysek S. 1. Molga M. (G) 20. Osipiak M.	43. Fedejko I. 8. Hrnciar L. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 73. Radomski K. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 13. Svec J. 44. Tyburczy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Wolny D. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Niedbala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 2, Koczy K. ⚽,
62', Tomalski H. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Wolny D. ⚽,
68', Wolny D. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
79', Niedbala J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
79', Hebel M. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
79', Kendzia J. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
83', 1 - 4, Kukulowicz B. ⚽,
84', 1 - 5, Lelek K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stal Stalowa Wola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sokół Kleczew - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
18.11.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
22.07.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0
10.03.18	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1
19.08.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2

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