Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)


	GKS Jastrzębie		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.37
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.77	3.23	2.5
	2.62	3	2.4
	2.7	3.36	2.39	Watch
	2.77	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
33.5%

Draw
28.2%

Polonia Warsaw
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Recent matches GKS Jastrzębie is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently GKS Jastrzębie have a series of guest games.

Polonia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
29.04.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
28.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Radunia Stężyca	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
Club Friendly
03.02.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Warsaw	1:1

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