Match Info

Date: 30 June 2020, Tuesday


	GKS Jastrzębie		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3.45	1.97
	3.6	3.78	2.03
	3.4	3.6	1.95
	3.55	3.58	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
26.4%

Draw
26.6%

Stal Mielec
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

19.8%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Jastrzębie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	6.1%	84.8%

GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Mielec Predictions

Users Predictions: Stal Mielec will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 1
26.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:3 ✺
20.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
16.06.20	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
12.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
07.06.20	Odra Opole - GKS Jastrzębie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
27.06.20	Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom	2:0 ✺
21.06.20	GKS Bełchatów - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
18.06.20	Stal Mielec - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
14.06.20	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	2:4 ✺
05.06.20	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
04.10.19	Stal Mielec - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
12.04.19	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Mielec	1:0
22.09.18	Stal Mielec - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0

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