Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	GKS Tychy		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.3
	1.95	3.6	3.45	Watch
	1.97	3.76	3.59
	1.97	3.72	3.40	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.9	3.69	3.69	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
47.5%

Draw
25.8%

Stal Mielec
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Tychy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wechsel L. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 5. Glogowski K. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 92. Kadzior D. 19. Stangret M. 17. Niemann N.	1. Matys M. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 44. Puerto I. 15. Senger M. 27. Diez A. 6. Pisek J. 23. Sommerfeld K. 22. Kavcic M. 10. Domanski M. (C) 9. Losada M. 90. Kruszelnicki P.
Substitutes
23. Adamczyk N. 47. Jankowski B. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 22. Kubik T. 21. Machowski K. 10. Makowski R. 20. Pioterczak B. 7. Sanyang M. 90. Welniak K.	33. Bukowski A. 32. Gerbowski F. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 3. Kowalik P. 21. Kwiatkowski P. 17. Mazurek D. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 11. Odolak K. 77. Sadlocha K.
Coaches
Skowronek A.	Djurdjevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Glogowski K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Senger M. 🟨,
54', Kavcic M. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
55', Bieronski J. 🟨,
58', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
60', Diez A. 🟨,
63', Szpakowski M. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
63', Niemann N. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
71', Puerto I. ↓, Kwiatkowski P. ↑,
71', Stangret M. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
71', Glogowski K. ↓, Jankowski B. ↑,
72', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
72', Losada M. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
80', Kadzior D. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
84', Keiblinger J. 🟨,
87', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
88', Sadlocha K. 🟨,
89', Teclaw J. 🟨,
90', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
90+1', Sadlocha K. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

GKS Tychy might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
21.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Odra Opole - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLW
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
21.08.25	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
25.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.06.20	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	2:4
18.09.19	Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy	1:2
15.03.19	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	1:1
27.08.18	Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy	1:1
25.11.17	Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy	3:0
05.08.17	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	1:0
28.05.17	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	1:4

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