Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Katowice (Katowice)

Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)


	GKS Katowice		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.35	3.05	2.2
	3.59	3.34	2.14
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.62	3.38	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	2.14 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
27.6%

Draw
29.1%

Ruch Chorzów
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Katowice's form might have worsened.

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Katowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

GKS Katowice - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Recent matches GKS Katowice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruch Chorzów is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruch Chorzów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
20.05.23	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Katowice	0:0 ✺
28.04.23	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
19.05.23	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Ruch Chorzów - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
30.04.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Katowice	1:0
12.05.18	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Katowice	1:0
22.10.17	GKS Katowice - Ruch Chorzów	1:2

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