Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.63
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.7	3.25	2.5
	2.68	3.28	2.74
	2.62	3	2.55
	2.67	3.18	2.59
	2.9	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.13)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.57 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
34.4%

Draw
29.7%

Ruch Chorzów
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ruch Chorzów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sandecja Nowy Sącz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Sandecja is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sandecja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sandecja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandecja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 1
24.04.23	Stal Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
17.04.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3 ✺
06.04.23	Chrobry Głogów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
31.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	GKS Tychy - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
22.04.23	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Ruch Chorzów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1
Club Friendly
21.01.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Ruch Chorzów	3:4

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