Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)


	Polonia Warsaw		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.29	3.5	2.25
	3.29	3.5	2.17
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.24	3.39	2.1
	2.95	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	3.43 ↑ (3.15)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
29.8%

Draw
27%

GKS Katowice
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Polonia Warsaw - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 77. Michalski M. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 2. Grudniewski M. 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. (C) 16. Koton K. 14. Okhronchuk V. 37. Zawistowski N. 22. Biedrzycki B. 10. Bajdur M. 11. Kobusinski S.	1. Kudla D. (G) 3. Janiszewski G. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 13. Jaroszek B. 2. Kuusk M. 21. Baranowicz B. 6. Kozubal A. 10. Mak M. 11. Blad A. 17. Marzec M. 7. Bergier S.
Substitutes
23. Arak F. 29. Fadecki W. 13. Grzelczak A. 7. Kluska M. 21. Majsterek J. 20. Marciniec P. 1. Sandach A. (G) 9. Tomczyk P. 8. Wojciechowski O.	18. Arak J. 29. Cwielong K. 14. Komor A. 15. Krawczyk S. 19. Pietrzyk K. 31. Shibata S. 33. Szczuka P. (G) 25. Trepka L.
Coaches
Smalec R.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Michalski M. ⚽, Kobusinski S. (A),
14', Bergier S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Baranowicz B. 🟨,
58', Baranowicz B. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
66', Jaroszek B. ↓, Pietrzyk K. ↑,
66', Bergier S. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
68', Michalski M. ↓, Kluska M. ↑,
77', Zawistowski N. ↓, Fadecki W. ↑,
77', Grudniewski M. ↓, Majsterek J. ↑,
78', Janiszewski G. ↓, Komor A. ↑,
78', Mak M. ↓, Krawczyk S. ↑,
85', Bajdur M. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
85', Kobusinski S. ↓, Tomczyk P. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Jedrych A. (Pen),
90+4', 1 - 2, Arak J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

GKS Katowice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

GKS Katowice will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
24.04.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:3 ✺
14.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWWT
- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
25.04.24	GKS Katowice - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	GKS Katowice - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.10.23	GKS Katowice - Polonia Warsaw	0:2

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