Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Marciniak R. (Pol)


	GKS Tychy		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.08	3.3	3.2
	2.23	3.25	3
	2.32	3.65	3.05
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.24	3.48	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.89)	3.37 ↓ (3.64)	3.03 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
41.9%

Draw
27.5%

Korona Kielce
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korona Kielce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

GKS Tychy - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Korona will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Korona is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)

GKS Tychy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Korona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GKS Tychy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Tychy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
14.05.22	GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Tychy	3:2 ✺
07.05.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
02.05.22	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
28.04.22	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Korona Kielce
Polish Division 1
14.05.22	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
06.05.22	Odra Opole - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
30.04.22	Korona Kielce - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.11.21	Korona Kielce - GKS Tychy	0:1
10.04.21	Korona Kielce - GKS Tychy	1:0
03.10.20	GKS Tychy - Korona Kielce	0:1
Club Friendly
07.07.19	Korona Kielce - GKS Tychy	2:1
02.07.14	Korona Kielce - GKS Tychy	0:0

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