Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	GKS Tychy		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.13	3.45	3.47
	2.14	3.45	3.47
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.08	3.44	3.25
	2.2	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.22)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	3.29 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
44.2%

Draw
27.6%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kikolski M. (G) 33. Teclaw J. 16. Budnicki J. 6. Nedic N. (C) 21. Machowski K. 20. Wojtuszek N. 25. Zytek W. 17. Blachewicz M. 7. Niewiarowski W. 18. Spiaczka B. 9. Rumin D.	1. Lukac P. (G) 55. Willman M. 6. Hlavica J. 4. Chlumecky M. 77. Tomasik P. 25. Nnosiri S. 32. Kisiel J. 23. Misztal M. 9. Banaszewski M. 79. Abate L. 7. Bida B.
Substitutes
4. Dijakovic M. 88. Dziegielewski N. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 77. Mikita P. 10. Mystkowski P. 24. Polap D. 23. Radecki M. 11. Skibicki K. 8. Szpakowski M.	20. Kadric H. 5. Kolenc J. 17. Milasius T. 11. Perosevic A. 95. Procek P. (G) 24. Sitek M. 8. Stryjewski Mi. 3. Wypych M. 2. Ziolkowski M.
Coaches
Banasik D.	Mokry G.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

GKS Tychy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

GKS Tychy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-30.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Tychy won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Club Friendly
13.10.23	GKS Tychy - Karviná	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
08.10.23	Resovia Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.09.23	GKS Tychy - Wisła Płock	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.09.23	Wisła Płock - GKS Tychy	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Club Friendly
14.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.02.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	1:0
07.08.22	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4
27.02.22	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0
17.08.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	0:0
21.06.20	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
Club Friendly
01.02.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	1:0
Polish Division 1
22.09.19	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	2:2

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