Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)


	Polonia Warsaw		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.09	3.6	2.26
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.98	3.54	2.17
	2.92	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	3.47 ↑ (3)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
31.6%

Draw
26.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (G) 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 2. Grudniewski M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 37. Zawistowski N. 77. Michalski M. 14. Okhronchuk V. 22. Biedrzycki B. 7. Kluska M. 16. Koton K. 11. Kobusinski S.	1. Lukac P. (G) 2. Ziolkowski M. 89. Mikolajewski D. 6. Hlavica J. 4. Chlumecky M. 10. Janota M. (C) 30. Jodlowiec T. 32. Kisiel J. 7. Bida B. 24. Sitek M. 79. Abate L.
Substitutes
10. Bajdur M. 57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 21. Majsterek J. 20. Marciniec P. 18. Pawlowski D. 6. Piatek J. 9. Tomczyk P. 27. Welna T. 8. Wojciechowski O.	9. Banaszewski M. 47. Bernard B. 20. Kadric H. 17. Milasius T. 23. Misztal M. 11. Perosevic A. 95. Procek P. (G) 8. Stryjewski Mi. 77. Tomasik P.
Coaches
Smalec R.	Mokry G.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

Polonia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Polonia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLL
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.13	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1
10.11.12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	0:1
06.05.12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:1

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