Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Bielsko-Biała)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.97	4.71
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.76	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	3.66 ↑ (3.1)	4.63 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
54.6%

Draw
25.4%

Górnik Łęczna
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

30.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Podbeskidzie: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lukac P. (G) 2. Ziolkowski M. 89. Mikolajewski D. 6. Hlavica J. 4. Chlumecky M. 10. Janota M. (C) 30. Jodlowiec T. 32. Kisiel J. 7. Bida B. 79. Abate L. 24. Sitek M.	33. Gostomski M. (C) 5. Pawlik M. 6. De Amo J. 4. Klemenz L. 3. Grabowski M. 10. Deja A. 8. Kryeziu E. 19. Starzynski P. 16. Zyra P. 77. Gaska D. 9. Podlinski K.
Substitutes
9. Banaszewski M. 47. Bernard B. 20. Kadric H. 5. Kolenc J. 17. Milasius T. 23. Misztal M. 11. Perosevic A. 95. Procek P. (G) 8. Stryjewski Mi.	21. Bednarczyk J. 30. Cisse S. 29. Dziwniel D. 11. Janaszek F. 17. Lukasiak K. 47. Steszuk M. 23. Turek K. 12. Wozniak T. (G)
Coaches
Mokry G.	Mamrot I.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 1.

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Górnik Łęczna is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Podbeskidzie is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
17.09.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Odra Opole - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLWL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
18.09.23	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.05.23	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:3
08.10.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
06.04.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
09.09.17	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.16	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:1
01.03.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	2:0

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