The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GVCD San José 52.8%
Draw 23.1%
Guabirá 24.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.3%
24.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
25%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVCD San José's performance.
Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guabirá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVCD San José that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
GVCD San José - Guabirá Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
GVCD San José will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rivas R. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 26. Lencinas J. 20. Aguilar F. 4. Vaca G. 55. Goyeneche J. 17. Quispe E. 38. Vargas L. 11. Matheus Moresche 7. Caceres A. (C) 9. Monteiro R.
13. Arauz J. (G) 8. Moreno A. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 37. Chavez T. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 29. Masskooni N. 11. Garzon S.
Substitutes
66. Akologo D. (G) 14. Calero D. 37. Cruz Valverde L. R. 10. Ferrufino R. 29. Galindo S. 36. Justiniano G. 8. Orihuela R. 18. Pinto S. 21. Valdez S. 30. Zeballos L.
91. Abrego V. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 40. Lujan P. 17. Maciel M. 14. Parada J. 4. Ruiz A. 22. Tellez M.
Coaches
Costa A.
Eguez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
10', 1 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Goyeneche J. (A),
45+1', Caceres A. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Matheus Moresche ⚽, Caceres A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Corrales R. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
46', Chavez T. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
53', 4 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Matheus Moresche (A),
63', Masskooni N. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
65', Quispe E. 🟨,
66', Monteiro R. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
68', Rafinha ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
73', Parada J. 🟨,
76', Calero D. 🟨,
79', Peredo G. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
80', Quispe E. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
81', Vaca G. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
86', Matheus Moresche ↓, Ferrufino R. ↑,
86', Caceres A. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
88', Calero D. 🟥,
89', Tellez M. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 7th).
Recent results have been tough for GVCD San José (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Guabirá have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to GVCD San José for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, GVCD San José has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GVCD San José against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:1 goals (averaging 4.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Guabira
23
8
6
9
34:47
-13
30
14
GV San Jose
23
4
8
11
27:40
-13
20
Last Results with these Odds
Guabirá - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
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Rivas R. (G) 
Lencinas J. 
Matheus Moresche 
Caceres A. (C) 
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