Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Guabirá		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.50	3.25
	1.97	3.35	3.05	Watch
	1.96	3.57	3.17
	1.97	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.10
	1.98	4.20	3.26	Watch
	1.91	3.55	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.62 ↓ (3.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
46.7%

Draw
25%

Oriente Petrolero
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

23.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-4%)

Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 29. Masskooni N. 37. Chavez T. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 22. Tellez M. 11. Garzon S.	1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 42. Roca D. 11. Vaca L. 40. Perdomo O. 20. Lovera J. (C) 77. Herrera J. 90. Pena A. 91. Nacif N.
Substitutes
91. Abrego V. 9. Alarcon F. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 14. Parada J. 21. Portillo M. 4. Ruiz A.	21. Aponte M. 13. Bernal J. (G) 4. Bonilla M. 17. Galindo S. 41. Guzman J. 10. Mamani M. 19. Perez F. 33. Saucedo C. 8. Siles O. 14. Taborga E. 28. Velasco J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Florentin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Nacif N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pena A. ↓, Velasco J. ↑,
46', Lovera J. 🟨,
61', Velasco M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Garzon S. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Tellez M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
66', Chavez T. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
66', Velasco M. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
73', Mizael Monteiro 🟨,
76', Gil S. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
77', Herrera J. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
82', Peredo G. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
82', Garzon S. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
84', Galindo S. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Maciel M. ⚽,
87', Mamani M. ↓, Saucedo C. ↑,
90+4', Alarcon F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guabirá holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:37 (averaging 1.2:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guabirá against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.6:1.6 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Guabirá - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.88%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Guabirá - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.26	Guabirá - Aurora	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Always Ready - Guabirá	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.09.26	Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Real Potosí - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:2
03.11.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	4:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.07.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:1
25.06.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	1:3
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
23.02.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:2

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