Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Zira		Gabala

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.4
	1.7	3.3	4.55	Watch
	1.79	3.3	4.34
	1.87	3.01	4.56	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.69	3.32	4.8
	1.7	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	4.58 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
52%

Draw
28.2%

Gabala
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Zira - Gabala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 22. Aydin E. 20. Djibrilla I. 17. Gomis I. 93. Konate B. 28. Mickels L. 5. Mutsinzi A. 10. Papunashvili G. 4. Ruan Renato 9. Volkovi D.	93. Cafarov R. (G) 27. Ahmadov E. 24. Akinade I. 13. Aliyev N. 16. Amoah I. 33. Keita S. 14. Massoumou D. J. 28. Musayev M. (C) 30. Owusu P. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J.
Substitutes
26. Acka S. 70. Alasgarov N. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 30. Guima 21. Hacyly H. 8. Ibrahimli I. 6. Kuliyev E. 11. Martins Junior 7. Muradov R. 73. Nuriyev A. 29. Nuriyev C.	1. Agayev S. (G) 50. Ba Loua A. 74. Damadayev S. 3. Eduardo Kunde 94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 66. Rashidov N. 12. Sangare I. 21. Shakarkhanov Z.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Konate B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 🟨,
75', Mickels L. ↓, Martins Junior ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Martins Junior ⚽,
80', Djibrilla I. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
80', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
81', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 5.

Zira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gabala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zira is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
8	Gabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
21.04.26	Zira - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.04.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTTT
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.04.26	Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Gabala - İmişli	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Kapaz - Gabala	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
22.11.25	Zira - Gabala	1:0
25.08.25	Gabala - Zira	1:2
Azerbaijan Cup
24.04.24	Gabala - Zira	0:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
07.04.24	Zira - Gabala	4:0
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.24	Zira - Gabala	2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.02.24	Gabala - Zira	1:1
12.11.23	Zira - Gabala	1:0

Zira - Gabala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide