Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gainare Tottori		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	6.00	5.75	1.30
	6.75	5.00	1.31
	6.75	5.00	1.30	Watch
	8.00	5.21	1.37
	8.30	5.60	1.29	Watch
	7.45	4.95	1.35
	6.43	6.16	1.33	Watch
	7.00	5.25	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.09 ↑ (6.26)	5.37 ↑ (4.77)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
13%

Draw
17.2%

Cerezo Osaka
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.5%

19%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

18.3%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gainare Tottori - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Hayakawa U. (G) 42. Kaneura M. 3. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 55. Oshima H. 32. Moon M. 15. Kiuchi T. 14. Kawamura T. 8. Tojo A. 2. Fujita I. 29. Konishi H. 19. Yamamoto S.	31. Abe K. (G) 27. Cools D. 97. Takahashi T. 15. Hernandez J. 2. Nakamura T. 8. Kagawa S. 28. Okazawa K. 17. Sakata R. 7. Uejo S. 41. Komi Y. 19. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
7. Arai R. 88. Burns A. (G) 24. Hoshi K. 39. Katori J. 10. Miki N. 4. Nikaido S. 16. Tasei Y. 44. Uehara M. 22. Yoshida I.	77. Fernandes L. 4. Inoue R. 45. Nagasoe K. 23. Nakamura K. (G) 6. Noborizato K. 16. Okuda H. 9. Sakuragawa S. 10. Tanaka S. 14. Yokoyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Uejo S. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Konishi H. ⚽, Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Sabbag P. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Konishi H. ⚽, Fujita I. (A),
59', Kaneura M. 🟨,
69', Kaneura M. ↓, Nikaido S. ↑,
69', Tojo A. ↓, Miki N. ↑,
70', Sabbag P. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
70', Okazawa K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
70', Komi Y. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
79', Yamamoto S. ↓, Yoshida I. ↑,
79', Fujita I. ↓, Tasei Y. ↑,
80', Sakata R. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
88', Uejo S. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Fernandes L. ⚽, Yokoyama Y. (A),
90', Konishi H. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Cerezo Osaka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Cerezo Osaka holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.87%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
11.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Gifu	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Gainare Tottori - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LLWWL
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWTL

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