Match Info

J1 League - Round 35

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.58	3.85	2.32	Watch
	2.67	4	2.52
	2.34	3.71	2.77	Watch
	2.62	3.77	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	2.49 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
37.1%

Draw
24.8%

Kawasaki Frontale
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Kawasaki (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fukui K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 3. Shindo R. 44. Hatanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 5. Kida H. 48. Shibayama M. 13. Nakajima M. 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Rafael Ratao	98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 31. van Wermeskerken S. 4. Jesiel 5. Sasaki A. 15. Tanabe S. 19. Kawahara S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
Substitutes
27. Cools D. 29. Furuyama K. 19. Homma S. 31. Inoue R. 8. Kagawa S. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 17. Sakata R. 22. Takahashi N. 35. Yoshino K.	21. Ando S. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 27. Kamihashi R. 11. Kobayashi Y. 24. Miyagi T. 16. Ozeki Y. 91. Romanic L. 8. Tachibanada K. 22. Uremovic F.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
46', Tanabe S. ↓, Uremovic F. ↑,
60', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
68', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
68', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
75', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
78', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
79', Rafael Ratao ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
79', Uremovic F. 🟨,
89', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
89', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.

Cerezo Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Injury) Hirano Y. (Inactive) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Ohata A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Tanabe S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	5:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	4:1 ✺
08.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
14.07.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
13.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
02.09.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	3:0
18.03.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	0:0
Japan J League Cup
10.08.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	2:2
03.08.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1

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