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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 33.4%
Draw 25.8%
Kawasaki Frontale 40.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
25.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
25.4%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 97. Takahashi T. 4. Inoue R. 16. Okuda H. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 36. Irvine J. 66. Ohata A. 77. Fernandes L. 41. Komi Y. 19. Sabbag P.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 4. Pedro Romano 22. Uremovic F. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 97. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
31. Abe K. (G) 15. Hernandez J. 8. Kagawa S. 2. Nakamura T. 28. Okazawa K. 17. Sakata R. 9. Sakuragawa S. 7. Uejo S. 14. Yokoyama Y.
19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 34. Osa R. 16. Ozeki Y. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 25. Yamaichi S.
Coaches
Machin P.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Pedro Romano ⚽, Miura S. (A),
19', Ohata A. 🟥,
31', Sasaki A. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
36', Pedro Romano 🟨,
41', Yamahara R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 2, Tachibanada K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pedro Romano ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Komi Y. ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
53', Irvine J. 🟨,
65', Sabbag P. 🟨,
66', Sabbag P. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Marcinho (A),
75', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
76', Fernandes L. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
76', Komi Y. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
85', Irvine J. ↓, Okazawa K. ↑,
86', Derik Lacerda ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
87', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Ozeki Y. ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Cerezo Osaka: Kambayashi G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shibayama M.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Kawasaki: Hayashi S.
(Knee Injury)
Kobayashi Y.
(Calf Injury)
Miyagi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Romanic L.
(Foot Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:29 (averaging 1.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cerezo Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Kawasaki Frontale
10
4
4
2
21:16
5
16
13
Cerezo Osaka
10
3
3
4
9:16
-7
12
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Kawasaki Frontale: 8.66% Cerezo Osaka: 0.97%
Last Results with these Odds
Cerezo Osaka - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.02%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Nakamura K. (G) 
Cools D. 
Irvine J. 
Fernandes L. 
Sabbag P. 
Brodersen S. (G) 
Uremovic F. 
Hernandez J. 
