The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gainare Tottori 30.2%
Draw 29%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
29.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
28.9%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giravanz Kitakyushu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Gainare Tottori - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
47. Momoi R. (G) 42. Kaneura M. 4. Nikaido S. 34. Jong S. 18. Arai R. 15. Kiuchi T. 7. Ozawa H. 21. Yajima S. 27. Hombo K. 10. Miki N. 24. Hoshi K.
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 6. Hoshi K. 96. Saitai Y. 4. Hasegawa K. 30. Fukumori K. 13. Kumasawa K. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 9. Kawabe S. 7. Hirahara R. 18. Watanabe S.
Substitutes
88. Burns A. (G) 72. Cha W. 2. Fujita I. 14. Kawamura T. 3. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 55. Oshima H. 9. Shinoda D. 32. Takayanagi F. 8. Tojo A.
24. Hiramatsu S. 22. Ikoma J. 14. Izawa H. 28. Konomi K. 23. Maeda R. 31. Otani K. (G) 66. Takahashi D. 37. Yoshida K. 8. Yoshinaga M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Hoshi K. ⚽, Yajima S. (A),
38', Jong S. 🟨,
45+1', Nikaido S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoshi K. ↓, Oshima H. ↑,
48', Kumasawa K. 🟨,
52', Kiuchi T. ↓, Tojo A. ↑,
62', Kumasawa K. ↓, Takahashi D. ↑,
63', Hombo K. 🟨,
68', Kawabe S. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
68', Fukumori K. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
68', Yajima S. ↓, Takayanagi F. ↑,
69', Hombo K. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Watanabe S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Yoshihara F. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
81', Hirahara R. ↓, Konomi K. ↑,
89', Takahashi D. 🟨,
90+2', Miki N. ↓, Shinoda D. ↑,
90+3', Yoshinaga M. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Saitai Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fujita I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takahashi D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Arai R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yoshinaga M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Takayanagi F. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Watanabe S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tojo A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hiramatsu S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shinoda D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Gainare Tottori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Momoi R. (G) 
Jong S. 
Cha W. 
