The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu 38.8%
Draw 27.8%
Roasso Kumamoto 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
29.3%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
29.2%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giravanz Kitakyushu's performance.
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roasso Kumamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giravanz Kitakyushu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roasso Kumamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Giravanz Kitakyushu - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Giravanz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Otani K. (G) 6. Hoshi K. 2. Narasaka T. 4. Hasegawa K. 8. Yoshinaga M. 14. Izawa H. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 66. Takahashi D. 28. Konomi K. 10. Nagai R.
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 26. Toda S. 5. Kobayashi K. 22. Matsuda E. 15. Mishima S. 25. Nasu K. 17. Nagai S. 13. Iihoshi A. 10. Katori Y. 18. Handai M.
Substitutes
30. Fukumori K. 7. Hirahara R. 22. Ikoma J. 9. Kawabe S. 13. Kumasawa K. 96. Saitai Y. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 25. Tsubogo R. 18. Watanabe S.
7. Fujii K. 14. Ishihara O. 6. Iwashita W. 8. Kamimura S. 27. Negishi K. 41. Omoto Y. 24. Ri T. 23. Sato Y. (G) 19. Watanabe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Toda S. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Handai M. ⚽, Matsuda E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yoshihara F. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
46', Nagai R. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
46', Nagai S. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Hasegawa K. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Omoto Y. ⚽, Katori Y. (A),
74', Matsuda E. ↓, Iwashita W. ↑,
74', Katori Y. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
74', Mishima S. ↓, Kamimura S. ↑,
75', Izawa H. ↓, Kumasawa K. ↑,
75', Takahashi D. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
80', Nasu K. 🟨,
84', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
87', Nasu K. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
88', Kamimura S. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Giravanz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.