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Current Win Probability
Gainare Tottori 25.3%
Draw 28.3%
Kagoshima United 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
28.6%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
27.7%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Burns A. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 18. Arai R. 32. Takayanagi F. 21. Yajima S. 14. Kawamura T. 8. Tojo A. 9. Shinoda D. 24. Hoshi K.
21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 16. Muramatsu K. 5. Yamada Y. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 19. Inaba S. 14. Yoshio K. 18. Kawamura K. 55. Nakayama K. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
2. Fujita I. 34. Jong S. 10. Miki N. 66. Moon M. 3. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 7. Ozawa H. 19. Sota Y. 16. Tasei Y. 1. Terasawa Y. (G)
20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 26. Kawashima K. 23. Kojima R. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shinoda D. ↓, Miki N. ↑,
56', Arai R. 🟨,
60', Hoshi K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
64', Kawamura K. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
64', Arita R. ↓, Take S. ↑,
72', Takayanagi F. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
77', Yoshio K. 🟨,
78', Yoshio K. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
87', Saga R. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
87', Nakayama K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
87', Arai R. ↓, Moon M. ↑,
87', Kawamura T. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nukui H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fujimura K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fujita I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yonezawa R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ozawa H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 2.
In recent matches, Gainare Tottori has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kagoshima United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Recently, Gainare Tottori has had a series of away games.
Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Kagoshima United - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Burns A. (G) 
Jong S. 
Moon M. 
Sota Y. 
