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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 44.9%
Draw 28%
Gainare Tottori 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
25.1%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
24.6%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roasso Kumamoto's form might have worsened.
Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainare Tottori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roasso Kumamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainare Tottori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Roasso Kumamoto - Gainare Tottori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 5. Kobayashi K. 24. Ri T. 6. Iwashita W. 8. Kamimura S. 41. Omoto Y. 19. Watanabe R. 15. Mishima S. 22. Matsuda E. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.
47. Momoi R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 18. Arai R. 32. Takayanagi F. 21. Yajima S. 14. Kawamura T. 8. Tojo A. 9. Shinoda D. 24. Hoshi K.
Substitutes
39. Aoki S. 18. Handai M. 13. Iihoshi A. 35. Ito S. 10. Katori Y. 25. Nasu K. 27. Negishi K. 23. Sato Y. (G) 4. Yakushida R.
2. Fujita I. 34. Jong S. 10. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 16. Tasei Y. 1. Terasawa Y. (G) 22. Yoshida I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
61', Mishima S. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
61', Omoto Y. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
64', Hoshi K. ↓, Yoshida I. ↑,
64', Shinoda D. ↓, Miki N. ↑,
68', Fujii K. 🟨,
71', Tojo A. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
71', Kawamura T. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
73', Watanabe R. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Nikaido S. ⚽, Ozawa H. (A),
81', Fujii K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
82', Yajima S. ↓, Tasei Y. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Gainare Tottori has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kumamoto is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
China
Japan
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Sato S. (G) 
Ri T. 
Bae Jeong-Min 
