Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Nantwich Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.58	4.28	4.76
	1.5	4	5
	1.55	3.98	5.25
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	4.03 ↑ (4)	4.96 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
59.1%

Draw
22.6%

Nantwich Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.6%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nantwich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Nantwich Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0.

Gainsborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nantwich is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gainsborough to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
18.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Belper Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTT
- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Nantwich Town - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Nantwich Town - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Morpeth Town - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Nantwich Town - Marske United	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Liversedge - Nantwich Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.11.22	Nantwich Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
19.03.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Nantwich Town	0:0
11.01.22	Nantwich Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1
21.12.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Nantwich Town	0:0
17.08.19	Nantwich Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1
05.01.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Nantwich Town	0:0
18.08.18	Nantwich Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0

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