Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.5	4	5
	1.53	4.2	5.15
	1.52	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	4.1 ↑ (4)	4.99 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
59.8%

Draw
22.1%

Belper Town
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

19.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainsborough Trinity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Belper Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belper is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Marske United	6:2 ✺
04.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Liversedge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLL
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.02.23	Belper Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Radcliffe - Belper Town	4:2 ✺
04.02.23	Liversedge - Belper Town	1:3 ✺
31.01.23	Belper Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Belper Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
05.11.22	Belper Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4

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