Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.17	3.27	3.11
	2.21	3.46	2.98	Watch
	2.19	3.3	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.35 ↓ (3.46)	2.98 (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
42%

Draw
27.4%

United of Manchester
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gainsborough Trinity have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Le Fondre A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 0.

Gainsborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

United of Manchester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

United of Manchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gainsborough might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Hartlepool United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Shifnal Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWLW
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	United of Manchester - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Prescot Cables - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
16.09.25	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	United of Manchester - Chadderton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	0:1
14.01.25	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
03.02.24	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
02.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:3
22.04.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:2
19.11.22	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3
12.02.22	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	3:2

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