Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)


	Hartlepool United		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.55	4.15	4.85
	1.55	4.35	4.67
	1.58	4.1	4.92	Watch
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	4.16 ↑ (4.12)	4.79 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
58.9%

Draw
22%

Gainsborough Trinity
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

21.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Hartlepool United - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Preston F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Preston F. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Charman L. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. Replay (1st match was draw).

Recent performances by Hartlepool have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gainsborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hartlepool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gainsborough has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hartlepool is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hartlepool won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Hartlepool United - York City	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Carlisle United - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Shifnal Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hartlepool United	1:1

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