Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Galatasaray		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.45
	6	5	1.46
	6.4	5.2	1.45	Watch
	6.4	5.18	1.47
	6.23	5.18	1.47
	6	5	1.44
	6.15	5.1	1.46
	6.2	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (6.09)	5.08 ↑ (4.96)	1.46 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
15.5%

Draw
18.8%

Bayern Munich
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.2%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

18.8%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	4.7%	90.6%

Galatasaray - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (96 of 106 users predict this - 90.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.01% – 96.13%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muslera F. (C) 93. Boey S. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 88. Karatas K. 23. Ayhan K. 34. Torreira L. 20. Tete 7. Akturkoglu K. 14. Zaha W. 9. Icardi M.	26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Mazraoui N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 4. de Ligt M. 19. Davies A. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 11. Coman K. 42. Musiala J. 10. Sane L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
3. Angelino 94. Bakambu C. 8. Demirbay K. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 10. Mertens D. 91. Ndombele T. 25. Nelsson V. 27. Oliveira S. 53. Yilmaz B. 22. Ziyech H.	13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 41. Kratzig F. 25. Muller T. 45. Pavlovic A. 18. Peretz D. (G) 20. Sarr B. 39. Tel M.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Tuchel T.

Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Recently Bayern have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayern is certain favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Gnabry S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Guerreiro R. (Muscle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Upamecano D. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Icardi M. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Goretzka L. (Wrist Injury) Neuer M. (Leg Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
21.10.23	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Manchester United - Galatasaray	2:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.09.23	Galatasaray - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	İstanbulspor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
21.10.23	Mainz - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Copenhagen - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.09.23	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.09.23	Preußen Münster - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

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