Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Galatasaray		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.05	3.6	2.02
	3.46	3.58	1.99
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.42	3.7	1.97	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.45)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	2 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
28.4%

Draw
25.9%

Villarreal
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Galatasaray - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Galatasaray is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Galatasaray - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
12.11.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	0:7 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Galatasaray - Ofspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
05.11.22	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
28.10.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Santa Amalia - Villarreal	0:9 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Villarreal - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	Lech Poznań - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Galatasaray - Stuttgart	✺
Turkish Super League
30.10.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	✺
- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	✺

Galatasaray - Villarreal