Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Pohang Steelers		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.3
	3.15	3.28	2.29
	3.4	3.33	2.11	Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	3.05	3.41	2.32	Watch
	3	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	2.25 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
30%

Draw
28.8%

Gamba Osaka
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gamba Osaka (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 13. Kang Min-Jun 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 26. Park Chan-Yong 11. da Rocha Junior J. 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 2. Eo Jeong-Won 31. Nishiya K. 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 19. Lee Ho-Jae 9. Jorge Teixeira	1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. (C) 67. Sasaki S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 16. Suzuki T. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
20. An J. 99. Cho Sang-Hyeok 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 29. Hong Sung-min (G) 57. Hwang J. 50. Jin Si-woo 88. Kim Dong-Jin 7. Kim In-Sung 38. Kim Ye-Sung 73. Kim Yong-Hak 66. Lee Chang-Woo 92. Tranziska J.	18. Araki R. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 27. Mito R. 5. Miura G. 41. Nakamura J. 38. Nawata G. 40. Toyama S. 31. Zhang A. (G)
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Wissing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
61', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
61', Meshino R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
68', Nishiya K. ↓, Hwang J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Jorge Teixeira ⚽,
72', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
75', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, Lee Chang-Woo ↑,
75', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
86', Nakatani S. 🟨,
89', Lee Ho-Jae ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
89', Yamashita R. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pohang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Pohang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Kaya - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Pathum United	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTT
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
07.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Eastern AA - Gamba Osaka	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
02.05.12	Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka	2:0

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