Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.82	Watch
	2.56	3.35	3.01
	2.52	3.27	2.86	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.75
	2.46	3.18	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.15)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	2.89 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
38.5%

Draw
29%

Nagoya Grampus
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gamba Osaka (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 4. Nakatani S. 67. Sasaki S. 21. Hatsuse R. 27. Mito R. 13. Abe S. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H.	1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 2. Nogami Y. 27. Nakayama K. 15. Inagaki S. 31. Takamine T. 55. Tokumoto S. 25. Marcus Vinicius 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
18. Araki R. (G) 2. Fukuoka S. 23. Hummet D. 8. Meshino R. 5. Miura G. 38. Nawata G. 44. Okunuki K. 16. Suzuki T. 40. Toyama S.	9. Asano Y. 19. Koda H. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 8. Shiihashi K. 66. Yamanaka R.
Coaches
Wissing J.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Yamashita R. 🟨,
32', Inagaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mito R. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
61', Nakayama K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
61', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
61', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
61', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
61', Jebali I. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
61', Yamashita R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
68', Sasaki S. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kurata S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marcus Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nawata G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Suzuki T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fujii H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nakatani S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 4.

Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Kishimoto T. (Red Card) Welton (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nagoya: Uchida T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Izumi R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.9:2.1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Nagoya Grampus: 0.78% Gamba Osaka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Nagoya Grampus - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League 2
12.02.26	Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
07.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWL
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
08.02.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:2
12.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	2:0
23.10.24	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	3:2
11.05.24	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:1
21.10.23	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	0:1
06.05.23	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	1:0
27.08.22	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:2

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