Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.50	4.10	1.66
	4.35	3.85	1.68	Watch
	4.56	4.29	1.73
	4.5	4.23	1.68	Watch
	4.3	4.25	1.71
	4.59	3.88	1.74	Watch
	4.4	4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.88)	4.05 ↓ (4.14)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
21.1%

Draw
23.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 67. Sasaki S. 21. Hatsuse R. 16. Suzuki T. 10. Kurata S. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.	99. Ouchi I. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 5. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. 35. Nakajima Y. 7. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 10. Suzuki A. 22. Haller S.
Substitutes
20. Adams E. 48. Fujimoto Y. 2. Fukuoka S. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 37. Nakatsumi N. 38. Nawata G. 35. Tono T. 32. Yoshihara Y.	23. Ayukawa S. 47. Hara M. 8. Kawamura T. 32. Koshimichi S. 14. Matsumoto T. 46. Noguchi R. 1. Osako K. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D.
Coaches
Myojin T.	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kawabe H. 🟨,
11', Jebali I. 🟨,
36', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
57', Kurata S. ↓, Yoshihara Y. ↑,
61', Haller S. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
68', Kawabe H. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
75', Meshino R. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
86', Jebali I. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
87', Kishimoto T. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1.

Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hiroshima is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Abe S. (Red Card) Handa R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Miura G. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hiroshima: Asano T. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 11.31% Gamba Osaka: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.15%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J1 League
07.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Okinawa SV	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
10.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
14.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	2:0
16.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	1:0
11.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
08.12.24	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1
Japan Emperors Cup
11.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	1:2
Japan J1 League
30.03.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	1:1

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