Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nagoya Grampus		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.50	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.80
	2.30	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.47	3.73	2.92
	2.3	3.61	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.70	2.80
	2.50	3.54	2.70	Watch
	2.37	3.50	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
39.8%

Draw
26.7%

Gamba Osaka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pisano A. (G) 70. Hara T. 31. Takamine T. 55. Tokumoto S. 7. Izumi R. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 17. Uchida T. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.	18. Araki R. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 67. Sasaki S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 14. Uenaka A. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 36. Hagi H. (G) 19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 10. Mateus 18. Nagai K. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y.	20. Adams E. 2. Fukuoka S. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 37. Nakatsumi N. 38. Nawata G. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T.
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Myojin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Kimura Y. ⚽, Izumi R. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Meshino R. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
40', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
43', Hummet D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Uchida T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
63', Meshino R. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
63', Uenaka A. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
67', Izumi R. ↓, Mateus ↑,
78', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
78', Nakayama K. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
78', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
79', Hummet D. ↓, Nakatsumi N. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Asano Y. ⚽,
86', Mito R. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
86', Abe S. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 1, Ono M. ⚽, Asano Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.

Gamba Osaka is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Nagoya: Marcus Vinicius (Broken Leg) Schmidt D. (Injury)

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Handa R. (Knee Injury) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Nagoya Grampus: 0.78% Gamba Osaka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.52%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ET ✺
30.05.26	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J1 League
07.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gamba Osaka	0:6 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Gamba Osaka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	2:1
15.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	0:1 penalties
25.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:2
12.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	2:0
23.10.24	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	3:2
11.05.24	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:1
21.10.23	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	0:1

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