Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mito HollyHock		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.57	3	2.82	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.55
	2.52	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.6	3.33	2.9
	2.69	3.24	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.8
	2.54	3.03	3.06	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.79 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
36.3%

Draw
29.9%

Gamba Osaka
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gamba Osaka (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 19. Semba T. 20. Funabashi Y. 22. Taniguchi K. 18. Uchino K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)	18. Araki R. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 19. Ikegaya G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 38. Nawata G. 14. Uenaka A.
Substitutes
50. Ieizumi R. 8. Kato C. 4. Kawazura A. 70. Matheus Leiria 21. Matsubara S. (G) 9. Nemoto R. 29. Tada K. 39. Yamamoto H. 53. Yamashita S.	20. Adams E. 2. Fukuoka S. 23. Hummet D. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 10. Kurata S. 37. Nakatsumi N. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 32. Yoshihara Y.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Myojin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Torikai Y. ⚽, Taniguchi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torikai Y. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
46', Ikegaya G. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
56', Usami T. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
58', Kimoto Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
63', Watanabe A. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
63', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
69', Mito R. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Nakatani S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
81', Funabashi Y. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
82', Yamamoto H. 🟨,

Preview

Gamba Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M. (Hamstring Injury) Hayakawa U. (Knee Injury) Semba T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury) Shimatani K. (Lower Back Injury)

There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Handa R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Mito: 0.78% Gamba Osaka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
08.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J1 League
07.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gamba Osaka	0:6 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Gamba Osaka	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Sparta Prague - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ET
Club Friendly
20.01.25	Gamba Osaka - Mito HollyHock	2:0
Japan J2 League
15.09.13	Gamba Osaka - Mito HollyHock	5:0

Upcoming Matches