Match Info

AFC Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)


	Gangwon		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.75	3.10	2.55
	2.52	3.05	2.68
	2.59	3.22	2.87
	2.52	3.2	2.82
	2.5	3.15	2.8
	2.58	3.24	2.85
	2.55	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.63)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	2.73 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
36.4%

Draw
29.6%

Gamba Osaka
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	72.7%	18.2%

Gangwon - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 33. Hong Chul 70. Sekidika J. 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 7. Kim Dae-Won 11. Goh Young-Jun 96. Choe Byeong-Chan	18. Araki R. (G) 47. Nakano S. 19. Ikegaya G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 27. Mito R. 13. Abe S. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 15. Kishimoto T. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
51. Cho Min-Kyu (G) 77. Hleihel A. 14. Kang Y. 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 39. Lee Ji-Ho 8. Lee Seung-Won 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 24. Park H. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 47. Shin Min-Ha	20. Adams E. 2. Fukuoka S. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 22. Ichimori J. (G) 10. Kurata S. 37. Nakatsumi N. 38. Nawata G. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 14. Uenaka A. 7. Usami T. 32. Yoshihara Y.
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Myojin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
28', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kishimoto T. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
46', Nakano S. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
68', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
70', Kim Dae-Won 🟨,
72', Hong Chul ↓, Shin Min-Ha ↑,
80', Sekidika J. ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
81', Hummet D. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
89', Lee Gi-Hyuk 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
98', Shin Min-Ha 🟨,
103', 0 - 1, Nawata G. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
105+1', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Park H. ↑,
105+1', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Lee Ji-Ho ↑,
106', Yamashita R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,

Preview

Gangwon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gangwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Jeju - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
Friendly
13.07.26	Vietnam - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
07.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gamba Osaka	0:6 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Gamba Osaka	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Sparta Prague - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

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