Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Gandía		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.16	4.43
	1.76	3.16	4.43
	1.7	3.34	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	4.52 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gandía
52%

Draw
28%

Castellonense
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gandía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gandía than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Gandía - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castellonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gandía will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Gandía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.11.23	Patacona - Gandía	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Gandía - Español de San Vicente	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Villarreal C - Gandía	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Soneja - Gandía	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Gandía - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTWW
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.11.23	Castellonense - Soneja	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Castellon B - Castellonense	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Castellonense - Acero	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Roda - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Castellonense - Rayo Ibense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTTW

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