Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)


	Gangwon		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.87	3.18	2.74
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.75	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.5)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	2.63 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
34.5%

Draw
29.9%

Suwon Bluewings
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	66.7%	20%

Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 2. Kim Young-Bin 74. Tuci M. 21. Kim Woo-Seok 66. Ryu K. 24. Kim Jin-Ho 8. Han Kook-Young 4. Seo Min-Woo 10. Kim Dae-Won 9. Cariello Ribeiro Y. 35. Park Sang-Hyeok	21. Yang Hyung-Mo (G) 15. Go Myeong-Seok 66. Kim J. 33. Park Dae-Won 29. Lee S. 81. Kozuka K. 7. Ko Seung-Beom 23. Lee Ki-Je 97. Rodrigo Bassani 36. Myung Jun-Jae 37. Kim Joo-Chan
Substitutes
6. Alibaev I. 11. Galego 3. Lee Ji-Sol 63. Vitor Gabriel 17. Yu In-Soo 20. Yun Suk-Young 1. Yu Sang-Hun (G)	99. An Chan-Gi (G) 27. Go M. y. 5. Hogang H. 10. Jeong Seung-Won 14. Jeon Jin-Woo 44. Mulic F. 88. Yu Je-Ho
Coaches
Yoon J.	Kim Byung-Soo

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gangwon won 1.

Gangwon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Suwon Bluewings is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Suwon Bluewings could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Gangwon won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 34-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Gangwon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
15.07.23	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
11.07.23	Daegu - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	Gangwon - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Incheon United - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTLL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
15.07.23	Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
12.07.23	Suwon Bluewings - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon Bluewings	2:2 ✺
01.07.23	Daegu - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
13.05.23	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	0:2
02.04.23	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	1:1
27.08.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:3
29.05.22	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:1
South Korean Cup
25.05.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:0
South Korean K-League 1
19.03.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:2
21.09.21	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	3:2

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