Match Info

K League 1 - Round 25

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.00	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.00	6.75
	1.42	3.75	6.75
	1.54	4.08	7.62
	1.53	3.87	6.53	Watch
	1.49	4.00	7.50
	1.51	4.13	6.78	Watch
	1.49	3.95	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	6.85 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
62.7%

Draw
23.6%

Gwangju
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.8%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Gwangju aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Gangwon - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Gwangju (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 27. Kim Do-Hyun 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) 33. Hong Chul 14. Kang Y. 11. Goh Young-Jun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 7. Kim Dae-Won 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 26. Cho W.	23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 33. Park Won-Jae 39. Min Sang-Gi (C) 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 17. Joao Pedro 50. Ba Loua A. 14. Yu Je-Ho 24. Kim Y. 70. Kim Woo-jin 16. Joung Ji-hun 88. Moon Min-seo
Substitutes
51. Cho Min-Kyu (G) 9. Kim Gun-Hee 16. Kim Tae-Hwan 8. Lee Seung-Won 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 24. Park H. 70. Sekidika J. 47. Shin Min-Ha	19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 11. Fridjonsson H. 99. Hong Yong-Jun 20. Im Seung-Kyum 18. Iredale J. 8. Ju Se-Jong 1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 3. Lee Min-Ki 7. Saitoski E.
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Lee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Moon Min-seo ⚽, Ba Loua A. (A),
22', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
45', 0 - 2, Moon Min-seo (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kim Y. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
53', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Im Seung-Kyum ↑,
57', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
57', Kang Y. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
66', Kim Woo-jin 🟨,
68', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
68', Kim Woo-jin ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
68', Hong Chul 🟥,
73', Cho W. ↓, Mo Jae-Hyeon ↑,
73', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Park H. ↑,
81', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
86', Park Won-Jae ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Tuci M. ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
89', 2 - 2, Kim Dong-Hyun ⚽, Park H. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 4.

Recent performances by Gangwon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gwangju's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gangwon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
23.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
23.08.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Bucheon - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:0
04.04.26	Gangwon - Gwangju	3:0
23.08.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1
25.05.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1
13.04.25	Gangwon - Gwangju	1:0
18.08.24	Gangwon - Gwangju	3:2
07.07.24	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:0

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