Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Suwon World Cup Stadium (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport


	Suwon Bluewings		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.68
	4	3.75	1.75
	4.91	3.96	1.74
	4.5	3.5	1.62
	4.7	3.84	1.71	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.26)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
20.4%

Draw
24.9%

Ulsan HD
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.6%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	12.9%	80.6%

Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulsan HD will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Hyung-Mo (G) 5. Hogang H. 66. Kim J. (C) 33. Park Dae-Won 10. Jeong Seung-Won 81. Kozuka K. 88. Yu Je-Ho 29. Lee S. 37. Kim Joo-Chan 36. Myung Jun-Jae 14. Jeon Jin-Woo	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 23. Kim Tae-Hwan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun (C) 44. Kim Kee-Hee 13. Lee Myung-Jae 22. Kim Min-Hyuk 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 29. Hwang J. 17. Ludwigson G. 18. Joo Min-Kyu 26. Cho Hyun-Taek
Substitutes
99. An Chan-Gi (G) 27. Go M. y. 15. Go Myeong-Seok 17. Kim Kyung-Joong 7. Ko Seung-Beom 23. Lee Ki-Je 44. Mulic F.	9. Adam M. 31. Esaka A. 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 27. Lee Chung-Yong 5. Lim Jong-Eun 10. Qazaishvili V. 66. Seol Young-Woo
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Hong Myung-Bo

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 1.

Suwon Bluewings is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ulsan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ulsan is a favorite.

Last 43 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 10 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 55-58.

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon Bluewings won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 34-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
12.07.23	Suwon Bluewings - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon Bluewings	2:2 ✺
01.07.23	Daegu - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	3:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.06.23	Suwon Bluewings - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTLL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
12.07.23	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Ulsan HD - Jeju	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.06.23	Ulsan HD - Daegu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
21.05.23	Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD	2:3
08.04.23	Ulsan HD - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
07.09.22	Ulsan HD - Suwon Bluewings	1:0
16.07.22	Ulsan HD - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
05.05.22	Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD	1:0
28.11.21	Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD	0:0
22.08.21	Ulsan HD - Suwon Bluewings	3:1

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