Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 4

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Petch M. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C


	Gap Connahs Quay		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.6	3.9	4.75
	1.57	4.18	4.92
	3.25	3.13	2.26	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.6
	1.65	3.82	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
51.4%

Draw
25.8%

Flint Town United
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

21.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Flint Town (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flint Town (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Margetson K. (G) 26. Cook J. 20. Cowan D. 14. Edwards N. 17. Hughes R. 3. Marriott Ch. 5. Nash B. 9. Oswell J. 22. Poole D. 23. Sharif A. 18. Woodcock M.	1. Flint J. (G) 21. Canavan J. 8. Hughes B. 11. Jones J. 18. Lee I. 5. Owen H. 9. Reeves E. 4. Sanogo Fofana S. 34. Stephenson D. 6. Thorn J. 10. Wynne B.
Substitutes
35. Berry R. (G) 11. Bratley C. 12. Franklin H. 21. Fregapane M. 10. Ismail Z. 7. Kenny J. 30. Tang J.	3. Burke M. 15. Davies D. 16. Ferguson C. 26. Ferguson C. 22. Imariagbe K. 7. Phillips J. 13. Szczepaniak D. (G)
Coaches
Disney J.	Fowler L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Reeves E. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Wynne B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Cook J. ↓, Bratley C. ↑,
46', Woodcock M. ↓, Franklin H. ↑,
46', Oswell J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
46', Cowan D. ↓, Ismail Z. ↑,
54', Owen H. 🟨,
56', Canavan J. ↓, Burke M. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Kenny J. ⚽,
64', Stephenson D. ↓, Imariagbe K. ↑,
64', Reeves E. ↓, Phillips J. ↑,
69', Wynne B. 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, Marriott Ch. ⚽,
83', Thorn J. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Kenny J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Lee I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 4.

Connahs Quay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flint Town has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.

Recently, Flint Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Connahs Quay is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:6. (average 2.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:3. (average 3.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Ruthin Town - Gap Connahs Quay	0:9 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Macclesfield Town - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTWLT
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:5 ✺
08.08.25	Bala Town - Flint Town United	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Flint Town United - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Flint Town United - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
12.07.25	Flint Town United - Vauxhall Motors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
11.03.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United	4:0
25.01.25	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1
26.12.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United	7:2
26.08.24	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1
Welsh FA Cup
09.12.23	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.12.22	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0
26.12.22	Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United	2:0

Upcoming Matches