The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Town United 26.5%
Draw 26.3%
Caernarfon Town 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
25.8%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
25.2%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Flint Town will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Flint Town: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Flint Town (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flint J. (G) 3. Burke M. 21. Canavan J. 8. Hughes B. 11. Jones J. 5. Owen H. (C) 7. Phillips J. 9. Reeves E. 6. Thorn J. 2. Woollam B. 10. Wynne B.
1. Roberts C. (G) 11. Clarke Z. 9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 7. Mendes P. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. (C) 15. Smith D.
Substitutes
15. Davies D. 16. Ferguson C. 26. Ferguson C. 22. Imariagbe K. 4. Sanogo Fofana S. 34. Stephenson D. 13. Szczepaniak D. (G)
19. Bradley S. 39. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 24. Harrison K. 5. Mooney P. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G)
Coaches
Fowler L.
Davies R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Canavan J. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Mendes P. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Clarke Z. ⚽,
37', 2 - 2, Reeves E. ⚽,
44', Owen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Woollam B. ↓, Sanogo Fofana S. ↑,
52', 2 - 3, Lewis I. ⚽,
67', Clarke Z. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
68', Reeves E. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,
68', Phillips J. ↓, Imariagbe K. ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Mendes P. ⚽,
76', Burke M. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
76', Wynne B. ↓, Davies D. ↑,
78', 2 - 5, Davies A. ⚽,
78', Lock J. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
88', Davies A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
88', Mendes P. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
88', Downey S. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 1.
Flint Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Caernarfon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Flint Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Flint Town has had a series of home games.
Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.3:2.7).
Watch
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Flint J. (G) 
Hughes B. 
Mendes P. 
Ferguson C. 
Sanogo Fofana S. 
Szczepaniak D. (G) 
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