Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Garbarnia Kraków		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.8	1.31
	8.5	5	1.33	Watch
	7.6	5	1.32
	7.6	5	1.32
	8	5	1.25
	8	5.1	1.32	Watch
	7.7	4.88	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.81 ↑ (6.2)	4.97 ↓ (5)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
11.7%

Draw
18.5%

Stal Mielec
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

18.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

16.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Mielec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Garbarnia Kraków - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bartusik M. (G) 3. Czekaj M. 6. Duda M. (C) 9. Durda K. 16. Dziedzic K. 22. Grzybowski F. 44. Kajpust A. 7. Klec M. 11. Morys D. 5. Moskiewicz P. 8. Zurek B.	13. Jalocha K. (G) 5. Ehmann M. 3. Esselink B. 7. Gerstenstein L. 8. Hinokio K. 21. Matras M. (C) 42. Meriluoto K. 22. Rafa Santos 37. Stepien M. 19. Trabka M. 11. Wolkowicz K.
Substitutes
21. Nowak M. 29. Opalski M. 77. Seweryn B. 10. Sutor J. 31. Szuta J. 55. Watroba K. 17. Wielecki O. 76. Zagorowski P. (G)	10. Domanski M. 12. Dudek M. (G) 23. Getinger K. 16. Guillaumier M. 27. Jaunzems A. 6. Leandro 14. Maj P. 17. Shkurin I. 25. Wolsztynski L.
Coaches
Pluta M.	Kieres K.

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Stal Mielec is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.11.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Wiązownica	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Avia Świdnik - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Garbarnia Kraków	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	1:3 ✺
23.10.23	Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.10.23	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.11.18	Stal Mielec - Garbarnia Kraków	6:1
20.07.18	Garbarnia Kraków - Stal Mielec	0:2
Polish Division 2 - East
30.03.14	Stal Mielec - Garbarnia Kraków	1:0

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