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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 68.4%
Draw 18.1%
Stal Mielec 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
19.4%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.2%
18.9%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(23 of 23 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 22. Elitim J. 6. Oyedele M. 5. Goncalves C. 25. Morishita R. 17. Shkurin I. 82. Luquinhas
13. Jalocha K. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 21. Matras M. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 20. Knap K. 6. Guillaumier M. 11. Wolkowicz K. 32. Gerbowski F. 25. Wolsztynski L. 10. Domanski M. (C)
Substitutes
28. Gual M. 77. Kovacevic V. (G) 18. Kucharczyk M. 23. Kun P. 51. Mozie P. 7. Pekhart T. 71. Szczepaniak M. 53. Urbanski W. 61. Wyganowski A.
96. Dadok R. 12. Dybowski K. (G) 3. Esselink B. 23. Getinger K. 92. Kadzior D. 44. Krykun S. 73. Niedzwiedz N. 19. Tkacz D. 77. Zieba D.
Coaches
Feio G.
Djurdjevic I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Wolsztynski L. (Pen),
59', Shkurin I. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
60', Goncalves C. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Pekhart T. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
71', Wolsztynski L. 🟨,
72', Wlazlo P. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
72', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
72', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Wszolek P. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
83', Knap K. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
86', Elitim J. ↓, Wyganowski A. ↑,
87', Matras M. 🟨,
88', Luquinhas ↓, Kucharczyk M. ↑,
90', Jaunzems A. ↓, Zieba D. ↑,
90+4', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
90+4', Jalocha K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ziolkowski J.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Inactive)
Tkacz D.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
Finland
Poland
Ukraine
World
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Tobiasz K. (G) 
Kapuadi S. 
Vinagre R. 
Elitim J. 
Morishita R. 
Shkurin I. 
Luquinhas 
Senger M. 
Jaunzems A. 
Guillaumier M. 
Gual M. 
Kovacevic V. (G) 
Pekhart T. 
Esselink B. 
Krykun S. 
Djurdjevic I. 
