Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Garbarnia Kraków		Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski

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Garbarnia Kraków
60.2%

Draw
21%

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

17.3%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

13%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garbarnia Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Garbarnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Garbarnia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Cup
08.11.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Stal Mielec	2:4 ET ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.11.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Wiązownica	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Avia Świdnik - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.11.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Karpaty Krosno - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:5 ✺
21.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Garbarnia Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski