Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.6
	4.01	3.48	1.75
	4.02	3.48	1.76
	4.5	3.62	1.66	Watch
	4.1	3.85	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.5)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
21.5%

Draw
24.9%

Star Starachowice
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Star Starachowice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Star Starachowice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Star Starachowice is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.10.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWTL
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.10.23	Star Starachowice - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Wiązownica - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Star Starachowice - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	✺

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Star Starachowice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide