Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Garbarnia Kraków		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4	3.2	1.75
	3.82	4.24	1.74
	3.75	3.6	1.7
	4.25	3.85	1.69	Watch
	4.9	3.7	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	1.7 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
22%

Draw
24.7%

Polonia Warsaw
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garbarnia Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Garbarnia Kraków - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Garbarnia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Polonia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Garbarnia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Garbarnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Polonia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 2
06.05.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Garbarnia Kraków	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Radunia Stężyca - Garbarnia Kraków	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Hutnik - Garbarnia Kraków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
06.05.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Radunia Stężyca	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1

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