Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 13

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday


	Garliava		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.4	5.25
	1.4	4.25	5.75
	1.44	4.77	4.95
	1.38	4.2	6
	1.42	4.65	6
	1.39	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	4.5 ↑ (3.9)	5.66 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
64%

Draw
20.1%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garliava's performance.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garliava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Garliava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: Garliava will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Garliava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Žalgiris 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Garliava is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
04.06.23	Panevėžys 2 - Garliava	0:3 ✺
29.05.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Garliava - FA Šiauliai B	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Minija Kretinga - Garliava	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTL
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
05.06.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - FA Šiauliai B	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
22.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	Transinvest - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
01.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.10.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Garliava	1:0
17.06.22	Garliava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:3

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