Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.79	3.65	3.6
	1.75	3.8	3.8
	1.73	4.12	4.1
	1.78	3.6	3.8
	1.74	3.82	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)	3.86 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
52%

Draw
24.4%

Chorley
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gateshead - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Gateshead is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chorley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chorley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chorley have a series of guest games.

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League North
02.01.22	Blyth Spartans - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
28.12.21	Darlington - Gateshead	1:3 ✺
18.12.21	Gateshead - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
11.12.21	Farsley - Gateshead	3:4 ✺
07.12.21	Gateshead - York City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW
- Chorley
English National League North
28.12.21	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	4:3 ✺
26.12.21	Fylde - Chorley	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	York City - Chorley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.11.21	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League North
20.11.21	Boston United - Chorley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.10.20	Chorley - Gateshead	2:1

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