Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Dorking Wanderers		Barnet

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.5	Watch
	4.75	4	1.52
	5.5	4.33	1.52	Watch
	5.66	4.33	1.56
	4.33	3.8	1.65
	5.2	4.25	1.53
	5	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (3.09)	4.13 ↑ (3.44)	1.54 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
18%

Draw
22.3%

Barnet
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.7%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Dorking Wanderers - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 15. Cook J. 37. Francomb G. 20. Gallagher D. 24. Ottaway H. 2. Philpott I. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.	1. Walker L. (G) 23. Beard S. 33. Brunt Z. 4. Collinge D. 8. Gorman D. (C) 18. Hartigan A. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 6. Okimo J. 30. Potter F. 14. Pritchard H.
Substitutes
22. Fuller B. 25. Kuhl A. 28. Lankshear A. 18. Moore L. 19. Seager R.	5. Armstrong M. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 28. Hooper G. 24. Revan D. 10. Stead C.

Preview

Recent matches Dorking is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnet is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dorking won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorking won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
03.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hartlepool United - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWLW
- Barnet
English National League
03.10.23	Barnet - Fylde	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4 ✺
23.09.23	Barnet - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.03.23	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	2:1
13.09.22	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	0:1
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	3:1

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