Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)


	Gateshead		Middlesbrough U21

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.7	2.62
	5.16	3.88	1.59	Watch
	2.19	3.76	2.78
	2.05	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.05)	3.75 (3.75)	2.46 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
33.9%

Draw
26.2%

Middlesbrough U21
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

22.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.

Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Middlesbrough U21 (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 35. Bone C. 10. Butterfield J. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 23. Fitzhugh E. 6. Flint W. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 16. Lowery L. 26. Pani C. 31. Williams B.	1. Foster O. (G) 11. Acheampong P. 9. Bakre H. 5. Baptiste A. 10. Carbon J. 8. Cartwright F. 7. Hamelberg E. 4. Johnson B. 3. McCormick G. (C) 2. Patterson-Powell R. 6. Woolston L.
Substitutes
32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 13. Leech P. (G) 14. Nouble F. 8. Sheaf M. 39. Thompson O.	15. Coulson F. 12. Finch S. 18. Greenup I. 16. Howells M. 14. Lennon C. 21. Lloyd O. (G) 17. Samuels O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Carbon J. ⚽, Hamelberg E. (A),
42', Hurst K. ↓, Thompson O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', John F. ↓, Home J. ↑,
46', McCormick G. ↓, Samuels O. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Bakre H. ⚽, Carbon J. (A),
65', Butterfield J. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
65', Fitzhugh E. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
72', Patterson-Powell R. ↓, Coulson F. ↑,
72', Bakre H. ↓, Finch S. ↑,
79', Ferguson D. 🟨,
83', Ferguson D. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
90', Home J. 🟨,
90', Hamelberg E. ↓, Lennon C. ↑,
90', Carbon J. ↓, Howells M. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Gateshead have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Middlesbrough U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gateshead might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Woking - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTW
- Middlesbrough U21
English National League Cup
09.09.25	Halifax Town - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Middlesbrough U21 - Reading U21	5:2 ✺
18.08.25	Middlesbrough U21 - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
09.08.25	Boston United - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Hartlepool United - Middlesbrough U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT

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