Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Wealdstone		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.68	3.70	4.00
	1.68	3.8	4.3
	1.66	4.07	4.85
	1.75	3.96	4.09	Watch
	1.64	4	4.8
	1.7	3.91	4.46
	1.69	3.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.89 ↓ (3.96)	4.39 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
55.1%

Draw
23.8%

Gateshead
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

21.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wealdstone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Wealdstone - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wealdstone will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gateshead will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Wealdstone (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wealdstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (C) 7. Norris L. 6. Barrett M. 12. Francis-Clarke A. 32. Kanu A. 4. Wells-Morrison J. 15. Henry A. 8. Kadji D. 31. Maher R. 11. Chesters D. 9. Olomola O.	12. Jameson P. (G) 24. Ferguson K. 28. Holgate H. 5. Lankshear A. (C) 6. Robinson J. 27. Eguaibor D. 17. Coyle R. 25. McCalmont A. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 7. Hiwula J. 19. Supyk L.
Substitutes
2. Cook J. 10. Harris J. J. 13. Johnson E. (G) 3. Newton J. 26. Okenabirhie F. 16. Uchenna C. 19. Waweru W.	35. Bone C. 20. Fenton J. 4. Home J. 29. Issaka F. 2. Lavery T. 1. Phillips N. (G) 21. Spellman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Olomola O. ⚽, Norris L. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Norris L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Holgate H. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Wells-Morrison J. ⚽, Chesters D. (A),
60', Lewis-Burgess K. 🟨,
62', Coyle R. ↓, Home J. ↑,
62', Hiwula J. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
62', Olomola O. ↓, Okenabirhie F. ↑,
62', Kanu A. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
65', Barrett M. 🟨,
68', Chesters D. ↓, Newton J. ↑,
68', Norris L. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
76', Eguaibor D. ↓, Fenton J. ↑,
80', Wells-Morrison J. ↓, Uchenna C. ↑,
83', Lankshear A. 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Cook J. ⚽,
89', Ferguson K. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 20th and 24th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 0.

Wealdstone has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Gateshead has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Wealdstone is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Wealdstone has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:16 (averaging 0.9:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wealdstone against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:12 goals (averaging 1.3:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Wealdstone	12	3	3	6	17:18	-1	12
24	Gateshead	12	1	1	10	7:27	-20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
19.09.26	Tamworth - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Wealdstone - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Boston United - Wealdstone	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Wealdstone - Stoke City U21	6:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Wealdstone - Kidderminster Harriers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL
- Gateshead
English National League
19.09.26	Gateshead - Southend United	1:6 ✺
English National League North
16.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Gateshead - Derby County U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.03.26	Gateshead - Wealdstone	1:0
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2
08.02.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	0:4
05.10.24	Gateshead - Wealdstone	1:0
17.02.24	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:4
03.10.23	Gateshead - Wealdstone	2:1
28.01.23	Wealdstone - Gateshead	1:2

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